After weeks of volatile swings and mixed sentiment across the crypto market, Dogecoin has found support at a critical level. Analysts believe this stabilization could mark the start of renewed momentum, especially if whales, derivatives activity, and technical signals continue to align in the coin’s favor.
Market watchers note that Dogecoin is currently tracing a Wyckoff Accumulation pattern, a technical structure often associated with trend reversals. According to analysis shared by Trader Tardigrade, DOGE may have completed its “spring” phase—when price briefly dips below support before rebounding. If this structure continues, Dogecoin could progress to a “Sign of Strength,” potentially lifting the Dogecoin price toward $0.25 and beyond.
Dogecoin is rebounding from a Phase C spring, signaling a potential low-timeframe Wyckoff accumulation pattern in progress. Source: Trader Tardigrade via X
On the daily chart, Dogecoin remains locked within a rising wedge. A breakout above $0.26 would likely set the stage for another test of $0.30, while failure to hold above $0.23 risks a slide toward $0.22.
On-chain data highlights growing confidence among large holders. Santiment reports that wallets holding between 100 million and 1 billion DOGE now control nearly 17% of supply—the highest level of 2025. This steady accumulation contrasts with mixed activity among smaller investors, suggesting that Dogecoin whales continue to see long-term value.
Daily active addresses, which spiked to over half a million in May and June, have since cooled to around 30,000. While activity has normalized, analysts argue that such stability could be healthier for a sustainable recovery compared to temporary speculative bursts.
Beyond spot trading, Dogecoin futures markets have shown increased activity. Large trades, including both bullish longs and defensive shorts, have highlighted $0.25 as a focal level. Data from Coinglass shows funding rates easing from previous highs, suggesting that overly bullish bets have cooled. Analysts believe this reset could give bulls a more balanced opportunity to challenge the $0.30 barrier without triggering major liquidations.
Dogecoin’s OI-weighted funding rate shows whether long or short positions are paying the premium in futures trading. Source: Coinglass
Funding rate normalization indicates less crowding among long positions, a development that could improve the chances of a cleaner breakout, according to a derivatives analyst.
Despite technical optimism, broader market sentiment remains cautious. Data from SoSoValue shows U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded more than $100 million in net outflows in late September. Such macro pressures often ripple into meme coins like Dogecoin, limiting liquidity and slowing momentum.
Exchange flows also reflect mixed signals. A net outflow of $3.36 million in DOGE on Sept. 24 suggests reduced selling pressure, but analysts stress that the scale remains modest compared to past accumulation waves.
Looking beyond October, analysts are divided on the future of Dogecoin. Some see parallels with past cycles, where long consolidation phases preceded explosive rallies in 2017 and 2021. Crypto analyst “Crypto Elites” recently argued that if DOGE breaks through $0.30–$0.35, it could pave the way toward $1 in the medium term and even higher levels over the long run.
Dogecoin (DOGE) is trading around $0.235, rebounding from support with potential to test $0.30 if bullish momentum continues. Source: CryptoELlTES via X
“Historical cycles show that Dogecoin tends to build quietly before sharp rallies,” the analyst noted, projecting a bold long-term target of $5. While such forecasts remain speculative, they underscore the strong following DOGE maintains within the market.
For now, Dogecoin’s price prediction today remains tied to the $0.23–$0.30 range. Holding above its 100-day EMA near $0.226 strengthens the bullish case, while rejection at $0.26 would keep the token range-bound.
Dogecoin was trading at around $0.24, up 0.81% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: Brave New Coin
Traders will be watching whether increased whale accumulation, normalized funding rates, and stable on-chain activity can align with favorable macro conditions to fuel a breakout. A decisive move above $0.30 could restore momentum and reignite speculation about when Dogecoin will reach $1—a question that continues to dominate Dogecoin price news and discussions about the Dogecoin outlook.
Until then, Dogecoin remains at a crossroads: steady above support but still battling the ceiling that has capped its rallies for weeks.
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