Avalanche Revisits 2022 Bottom: Bounce Toward $100 or Crash?

08-Dec-2025 TronWeekly
Avalanche
  • Avalanche is currently trading at $13.46 with a volume of $370.77 million, facing a critical 2022-like zone.
  • Historical prices of $8 to $10 fueled a staggering rise of 1461% and then 650% in 2023.
  • Price compression around $13 is a signal for a possible breakout, with traders targeting $30-$100.

Avalanche (AVAX) sits near the same zone that triggered major rallies in 2022. Currently, Avalanche is trading at $13.46 with a volume of $370.77 million and a market cap of $5.78 billion with a dominance of 0.19%.

Source: CoinGecko

Historical $8–$10 Zone Triggered Massive Gains      

Crypto analyst Crypto Patel highlighted that AVAX faces a crucial juncture. The fifth attempt at $30 resistance could trigger a breakout toward $100. Reclaiming $16–$17 is essential for bulls. Failure risks a steep drop.

Source: X

Historical records show that the range of $8 to $10 was responsible for huge hikes for $AVAX in the past. A growth rate of 1461% was realized in 2021, and 650% was realized in 2023. A fall below $8 might see the token drop to $3-$2.

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AVAX Price Compression Signals Potential Breakout

Analyst Altcoin Pioneer shared a chart pointing out the price at $13.26. The level acted as a key support during prior drawdowns, many holders monitor this region. A return to previous levels is often a precursor to a strong movement.

Avalanche has been compressing within a large descending channel since 2021. Lower highs confirm a slow process. A horizontal area between $13 and $13.50 is known for a strong bounce. The return to this area is a signal for the next potential reversal or continuation setup.

Source: X

Momentum indicators start weakening as AVAX approaches the lower boundary of the channel. Candles start reducing in size and compacting horizontally. Altcoin Pioneer explains that this is a typical indicator for impending volatility. Historical analysis shows that the market might see aggressive support defense and thus form a short consolidation range before attempting to reach higher resistance levels.

Market structure presents two possible courses. AVAX may sustain above $13 and rise to the channel middle, based on previous reactions. On the other hand, a possible breakdown may lead to $11 or even lower levels.

A support zone is formed here where the descending trendline intersects. The zone represents a consolidation point and is thus a critical zone for Avalanche to decide whether to continue with its upward movement or start feeling pressure to decline. Price action has been repeating a cycle for the last three years.

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