Bitcoin (BTC) Faces Key Test at $98.5K Short-Term Holder Cost Basis

10-Jan-2026 TronWeekly
Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC) is nearing a closely observed on-chain zone. This level is significant for short-term market direction. Latest changes in the value of the token have kept BTC in a more narrow range. The on-chain data proposes that movements of a few thousand dollars may be peripheral when compared with the significance of the $98,500 level.

Analysts observe that this value indicates the short-term holder (STH) cost basis. This metric is mostly used to understand the community sentiment and potential support or resistance during developmental phases.

Also Read: Bitcoin’s Green Revolution: How Mining is Driving Sustainable Energy Adoption in 2026

Short-Term Holder Cost Basis Comes Into Focus for Bitcoin

According to the on-chain analysis shared by On-Chain College, BTC’s recent action of roughly $2,000 higher or lower can be pondered as “noise” when compared with the importance of the $98,500 zone. This zone indicates the average acquisition value of short-term holders. It is usually defined as traders who have held the token for less than about 155 days.

On-chain charts tracking the STH cost basis indicate BTC continuously interacting with this metric during previous market cycles. In many circumstances, recovering this level has lined up with a new bullish rally. This means that failure to hold it has preceded deeper corrective phases.

According to CoinMarketCap at press time, the coin is trading at $91,199.07 with a 0.26% increase in rate. The market cap of the coin has exceeded $1.82 trillion, and the volume of the token is around $39.9 billion.

bitcoin
Source: CoinMarketCap

According to the data given by CoinCodex, the 200-day simple moving average in the long run is projected to reach $106,552. The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) in the short term is projected to reach $89,236. All these figures reflect a gradual but certain movement towards higher ground.

Source: CoinCodex

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 52.06, indicating a neutral position, neither excessively high nor excessively low. The pivot points have established the support levels at $89,824, $88,597, and $87,745. The resistance levels of the token are at $ 91,902, $92,754, and $93,980.

Source: CoinCodex

Also Read: Bitcoin Cash Approaches Key Zone: Will Bulls Defend the $615 Support?

Also read: Dragonfly’s Haseeb Qureshi Flags Stablecoin Cards as Emerging Trend After Rain’s $250M Raise
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