Bitcoin ($BTC) is currently trading around $110,700, sitting just above a key support at $111,350. The 50-day SMA at $115,179 acts as resistance, while the 200-day SMA at $101,690 serves as the long-term safety net.
BTC/USD 1-day chart via TradingView
The RSI at 44 signals that BTC is consolidating after a correction, but not yet oversold. A breakout above $115K could open the way to retest $118K before resuming the uptrend. If BTC holds above $100K in September, the stage is set for a Q4 parabolic move.
The U.S. 10-year bond yield is falling sharply, and that has major implications for risk-on assets like $Bitcoin. Lower yields mean:
Historically, falling yields have triggered rotations into equities and crypto. For BTC, this sets up a perfect storm for inflows in Q4.
Breaking news out of Beijing: the People’s Bank of China injected ¥2 trillion in liquidity this week. This massive cash flood into the financial system is designed to stabilize growth—but global markets will feel the effects.
This injection echoes previous cycles where Asian liquidity boosted Bitcoin’s climb toward new highs.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is cornered. With slowing growth and bond markets signaling stress, analysts now expect 25–50bps rate cuts in the coming months.
Rate cuts mean:
“Survive September” has become the mantra—because once cuts begin, Bitcoin is likely to lead risk assets into all-time highs in Q4.
With bond yields collapsing, China adding trillions in liquidity, and the Fed preparing to cut rates, Bitcoin is positioned for a parabolic rally into 2026.
For portfolio managers, maintaining core BTC exposure while hedging downside risks under $100K is the optimal play.
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