If you’re scratching your head over the
The market jumped on ceasefire news, but that excitement faded fast. Reports from Gulf nations showed attacks on the first day of the truce. Iran is still making demands for Strait of Hormuz transit. This uncertainty ended the ‘risk-on’ mood that pushed prices up just a day before.
Crypto loves good news, but bad headlines hit hard. When global risks rise, investors run to safer spots like stocks or cash.
Money is moving out of crypto into equities. Stocks rose on ceasefire hopes, while crypto dropped. This pattern repeats during the Iran conflict – both assets can’t rally together. It’s a classic rotation where big money chases the hotter trade.
Friday’s March CPI report adds pressure. If inflation numbers are hot, rate cuts get delayed. Less liquidity means less cash for risky assets like crypto. Traders are on edge, waiting for data that could push Bitcoin and others lower.
In the last 24 hours, $272.86 million in positions got liquidated across 79,415 traders. Long liquidations made up $170.42 million – about 62%. When leveraged bets fail, it creates a chain reaction, driving prices down more.
Bitcoin (BTC) is at $71,023, down about 1%. But the daily chart shows promise. Since late March, it’s forming a cup and handle pattern. The cup bottom rounded out, and now consolidation acts as the handle.
The current drop doesn’t break the pattern. Handles often pull back before blasting higher. Downside supports: $70,074 (0.382 Fib), then $68,096. Below $64,899 invalidates it all.
WLFI dropped over 13% to $0.0916, one of the worst among traded tokens. Why? Its treasury wallet deposited 3 billion WLFI tokens as collateral on Dolomite. It borrowed $50.44 million in USD1, draining the pool dry.
Pool utilization went over 100%, liquidity turned negative (-232,000 tokens). Deposit rates spiked to 35.81%, borrowing to 30%. Fear now: If WLFI price falls more, liquidation could cascade, hurting lenders chasing high yields.
Technicals were bearish already – falling channel since mid-February, with hidden bearish RSI divergence. Key levels:
Morgan Stanley launched MSBT spot Bitcoin ETF on NYSE Arca. Expense ratio: 0.14% – cheapest around. Projections: $5 billion in year one, $30 million day one. But ETFs saw $6.3 billion outflows from Nov to Feb. Timing is tricky amid the dip.
The Foundation sold 3,750 ETH ($8.3 million at $2,214 avg) via CoW Protocol, converting to stablecoins. It holds 1,250 ETH ($2.77 million) for grants. This selling adds supply pressure on ETH.
Total cap at $2.39 trillion (0.382 Fib) – current floor.
| Direction | Key Levels | What It Means |
|---|---|---|
| Downside | $2.33T (0.236 Fib) | Next support if breaks |
| Upside | $2.44T-$2.45T, then $2.49T (0.618) | Reclaim for rally to $2.56T-$2.65T |
If $2.39T holds, buyers may push to $2.45T. Break it, and $2.33T tests resolve.
The
Dip buyers could return if stability hits. Stay tuned – crypto moves fast. Key: Don’t chase highs or panic lows. Use levels to guide trades.
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