Performance Through the Lens of Money Supply

22-Sep-2025


Gold has been one of the strongest performing assets in 2025, rising 38% year to date, outpacing bitcoin23% advance. It’s no secret, though, that bitcoin has done wildly better than gold (and pretty much everything else) over its short lifespan.

A check of the two popular inflation-resistant assets against a broad measure of U.S. money supply (known as M2) yields further insight about their performances.

Adjusted for M2 growth, gold — despite its recent strong run — remains below its 2011 peak and roughly the same level as it was in 1975. The all-time high for gold against M2 occurred in 1980.

Bitcoin tells a different story. Each bull cycle has seen BTC hit a record versus M2, including last month when bitcoin touched both an absolute all-time high as well as a new high relative to money supply.

Bitcoin relative to M2 money supply

Bitcoin relative to M2 money supply (TradingView)

This contrast could highlight the different roles of the two assets. Gold continues to serve as a long-standing hedge and a stabilizer in portfolios, while bitcoin’s behavior shows how new forms of money can respond differently to an era of rapid monetary expansion.





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