Gold price rocketed and hit the $5, 000 level. On Monday, it was at $5, 080 after a 17% jump in January. At the same time, Bitcoin continued its decline and went down to about $86, 000, thus erasing its gains for this year and widening the gap between the two assets. Gold’s price hike is a response to the deteriorating trade tensions, the worry about a US government shutdown, and President Trump’s escalating tariff threats, which in turn are tempting investors.
Market participants revealed that a possible US government shutdown, apart from President Trump’s administration constantly threatening with tariffs, for instance, stating the intention to slap a 100% tariff on Canada because it signed a trade deal with China, are the main reasons for gold to be the beneficiary of the funds. While the Kobeissi Letter mentioned that a probable shutdown gave more impetus to precious metals, Jeff Mei from BTSE pointed out that in such a scenario, investors are turning to gold rather than US Treasuries.
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From the viewpoint of on-chain analytics, it appears that the holders of Bitcoin over the long term are selling their coins during the rallies, while the new investors are the ones getting the losses. Glassnode notes that the price of Bitcoin is unable to break above the short-term holder cost bases, which are almost $98,000, while the strong points for the price going up are set near $100,000, thereby capping the extent of the recovery.
In fact, gold is being supported by central banks buying and rising demand for ETFs, whereas Bitcoin’s position as digital gold is under challenge as it is turning out to be a highly speculative risk asset.
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