Shares of Roblox have tumbled approximately 30% since the start of 2026 as the gaming platform prepares to unveil its first-quarter results on April 30. Following impressive fourth-quarter 2025 performance, investors are eager to see if momentum continues.
Analyst consensus points to a net loss ranging from $0.41 to $0.43 per share for the period. This would mark a deeper loss compared to the $0.32 deficit recorded during Q1 2025. On the revenue front, projections cluster around $1.73–$1.74 billion, indicating year-over-year expansion of more than 43%.
Bookings — a critical performance indicator for Roblox — are anticipated to reach $1.73 billion, showing substantial improvement from the $1.21 billion registered in last year’s comparable quarter.
Interestingly, the Street’s EPS estimate has been adjusted upward by 5% during the last month, indicating growing analyst confidence ahead of the release.
Daily Active Users represent the metric that will command the most attention from investors. Projections call for DAUs to reach 145.65 million, marking a substantial increase from the 97.8 million recorded in Q1 2025.
Total engagement hours are expected to hit 34.59 billion, compared with 21.70 billion during the same period last year. Expansion is anticipated across every geographic segment — Asia-Pacific, Europe, United States & Canada, and other global markets.
APAC DAUs are forecasted to climb to 44.25 million from 26.3 million. European users are expected to reach 34.69 million, up from 23.6 million. The US & Canada segment is projected at 24.88 million, compared to 19.7 million in the prior-year quarter.
Options activity suggests significant volatility ahead. The implied movement for RBLX stock following earnings stands at approximately 15% in either direction. This exceeds the stock’s typical post-earnings move of 9.59% over the previous four reporting periods.
Benjamin Black from Deutsche Bank reduced his price objective to $85 from $115, pointing to weaker engagement patterns. However, he highlighted the company’s subscription offering as a continuing strength.
Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan adjusted his target downward to $125 from $140 while preserving his Buy rating. He emphasized that platform improvements and mid-quarter metrics still validate the long-term expansion story.
Michael Pachter at Wedbush lowered his target to $90 from $110, also keeping a Buy recommendation. He observed that the stock has already experienced significant selling pressure since its August 2025 high, with decelerating DAU growth and softer concurrent user activity already reflected in current valuations.
Among recent analyst coverage, 17 Buy ratings, four Hold ratings, and one Sell rating combine to produce a Moderate Buy consensus. The mean price target of $105.10 suggests potential upside of approximately 82.7% from present trading levels.
Roblox releases its quarterly results after the closing bell on April 30. Management’s forward guidance and user engagement metrics will likely determine the stock’s post-earnings direction more significantly than the headline financial figures.
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