Solana Sparks Hope as $100 Support Holds: A Potential 150% Rally on the Horizon?

04-Feb-2026 TronWeekly
solana

Solana (SOL) price may have reached a bottom near $100, which would open the way for a rally to $260. The crypto’s technical charts and on-chain data are both supportive of a rally, but there are a few major resistance hurdles that need to be cleared first. Trading at $102.31 at the time of writing, SOL is ready to make the most of its sturdy support.

Technical Analysis

After a 25% correction from $127 to $100, SOL’s price chart on the 4-hour timeframe shows a possibility of the V-shaped recovery pattern. The relative strength index (RSI) has moved up to 36 from the oversold area, which reflects the upward force.

Solana
Source: TradingView

The main resistance areas are the $113, $115 supply band, $125, $130 range, and the 50-week moving average levels at $140, $160. Breaking out of these levels could see SOL going up to $150, or 44% higher than the current market price.

Also Read: Solana Drops 11% as Elliott Wave Sell-Off Targets $96 Support

On-chain Demand

Solana’s total value locked (TVL) has increased to an all-time high of 73.4 million SOL, making up a value of $7.5 billion, on the back of network activity and decentralized application (DApp) usage.

Daily transactions soared to a two-year high of 109.5 million, while daily DEX volume touched an eight-month peak of $51.3 million SOL. These figures are indicative of rising on-chain demand and possible bullish sentiment.

Solana TVL
Source: DefiLlama

Also Read: 21Shares Launches JSOL ETP to Expand Solana Staking Access in EU

Challenges and Outlook

First and foremost, SOL needs to break through significant resistance levels if it wants to hit $260, a 150% gain from the present levels. According to Trader Tardigrade, a bounce off the lower boundary of the descending channel could send SOL soaring to $215.

https://twitter.com/TATrader_Alan/status/2018256593578770486?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E2018256593578770486%7Ctwgr%5Ea1db315d76841749f8db4e2b9f4c370624999f5e%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fpublish.twitter.com%2F%3Furl%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2FTATrader_Alan%2Fstatus%2F2018256593578770486

The 50-week moving averages ranging from $140 to $160 have always been the stumbling block to price rallies, and failing to climb above this area could mean a return to the support levels.

Also Read: Solana (SOL) Stabilizes Above $119-$124 Support as Market Eyes Potential Rebound

Also read: Hedera (HBAR) Price Prediction 2026, 2027-2030
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