The Bitcoin price surged past $73,000 in the past week, indicating an improved investor risk appetite despite the overwhelming sentiment. This recent rally has been attributed to several factors, but most notably the announcement of a temporary ceasefire in the US-Iran conflict. With the rise in the spot market, other pricing models are emerging with key implications for future market movements.
Prominent analytics firm Glassnode shared an update on the important on-chain price models following the latest market rally. Notably, these models track the average acquisition costs of different cohorts, providing a framework for identifying support, resistance, and overall market health.
As Bitcoin’s spot price rose to $71,800, the Short-Term Holder (STH) Cost Basis was valued at $81,300, representing the average purchase price of recent market entrants over the last 155 days. Historically, this level has served as a key sentiment gauge, as short-term holders are the most reactive investor cohort. With prices below this level, short-term investors are largely underwater and are likely to increase sell pressure on potential rebounds, thus forming a key market resistance level.
Update: With the spot price trading at $71.8K, the key on-chain price models are as follows:
Active Investors Mean: $85k
STH Cost Basis: $81.3K
True Market Mean: $78K—- Spot Price: $71.8K —-
Realized Price: $54.2K
https://t.co/mJ1JCnjTff https://t.co/hn9QFtRVgJ pic.twitter.com/Jw5AK7vvb0
— glassnode (@glassnode) April 10, 2026
Similarly, the Active Investors Mean, positioned at $85,000, remains significantly above the current spot price. This metric reflects the average cost basis of economically active market participants and often serves as a proxy for broader market confidence. With Bitcoin still significantly away from this level, the majority of active capital is holding at a loss, resulting in heavy market caution.
Another critical price metric highlighted by Glassnode is the True Market Mean at $78,000, which represents a more refined estimate of the market’s fair value by adjusting for lost coins and inactive supply. Trading below this level indicates that Bitcoin remains in a discount zone relative to its adjusted economic baseline.
However, the Realized Price, currently at $54,200, continues to provide strong structural support on the macro scale. This level reflects the average on-chain acquisition price of all circulating Bitcoin and typically represents the market capitulation threshold. With spot price holding well above this threshold, the long-term bullish structure remains intact despite the recent prolonged correction.
At press time, Bitcoin is valued at $72,700, up 10% over the last week. According to Glassnode’s analysis, the next critical resistance level lies around $78,000, breaking past which could signal a solid bullish recovery.
