Arm Holdings (ARM) jumped close to 5% on Monday, trading at $330.97, as investors piled back into AI and chip-related names. The Nasdaq gained 1.41% on the day, and ARM rode that wave.
Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares, ARM
The stock has had a strong run — up 121% over the past year — but it’s been quietly cooling since mid-June. It’s currently sitting about 9.7% below its 20-day simple moving average of $360.16.
The 50-day SMA sits at $301.29, with a key support level around $298.50. That’s where buyers stepped in during the last dip, so it’s a level worth watching.
A golden cross formed in April remains intact, which technical traders generally view as a positive sign for the longer-term trend.
The RSI is at 46.83 — neutral territory. The stock isn’t overbought, but it hasn’t quite found its footing after the June pullback either.
The next earnings report lands on July 29. Analysts are forecasting EPS of 36 cents, up from 35 cents a year ago. Revenue is expected to hit $1.27 billion, compared to $1.05 billion in the same period last year.
That’s steady growth, but at a P/E ratio of 370.9, the valuation leaves little margin for error. Any earnings miss or soft guidance could hit the stock hard.
ARM’s most recent quarterly result came in at $0.60 EPS on $1.49 billion in revenue, with an 18.37% net margin.
The consensus sits at “Moderate Buy” across 27 analysts — 19 buys, 7 holds, 1 sell. The average 12-month price target is $279.83, which is actually below where the stock is trading right now.
The more bullish end of the street is more optimistic. TD Cowen reiterated Buy on June 24, lifting its target to $475. UBS matched that, also raising to $470 the same day. Bank of America kept its Neutral rating but bumped its target to $460.
On the other side, New Street Research cut ARM from Buy to Neutral on June 18, citing valuation concerns. Some analysts have flagged that ARM’s stock price has run ahead of its fundamentals, and that SoftBank-related selling pressure could become a headwind.
Insiders have been selling too. Over the past three months, insiders offloaded 248,205 shares worth around $57.7 million.
Oracle Cloud Infrastructure recently joined ARM’s AGI CPU ecosystem, expanding its footprint in agentic AI and data center workloads. Nvidia also unveiled an ARM-based laptop chip, which continues to highlight the architecture’s growing reach.
Institutional ownership stands at 7.53%, with several small new positions opened in Q1 and Q2 2026.
ARM trades with a beta of 3.76, meaning it moves sharply in both directions. The 52-week range runs from $100.02 to $452.70.
The next major catalyst is the July 29 earnings report.
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