Dogecoin (DOGE) Price: TD Buy Signal Fires and Buyers Keep Stacking — Is a Breakout Coming?

TLDR

• Dogecoin’s net position delta is rising even as price stays near recent lows, suggesting buyers are still active.
• Fewer DOGE holders are currently in profit, a pattern some traders associate with market bottoms.
• Analyst Ali Charts flagged a TD buy signal on DOGE, calling it a potential turning point.
• On the weekly chart, DOGE is forming higher lows — a structure that appeared before previous major rallies.
• July has historically been a positive month for DOGE, with gains recorded in four of the last six years.

Dogecoin is trading around $0.07535, up 1.96% in the last 24 hours. Market cap sits near $12.85 billion, with daily trading volume around $697 million. Several on-chain signals and chart patterns are now drawing attention from traders.

Market analyst CW pointed out that Dogecoin’s net position delta has kept rising even as the price dipped. This metric tracks the balance between buying and selling activity. A rising delta during a price drop suggests more investors are adding to positions rather than exiting.

CW noted the buying pressure has been building for some time. The analyst said this growing demand could support a stronger price move if it continues.

Contrary to the downtrend of $DOGE, the net position delta is maintaining an increase trend.

The time is approaching for this upward pressure to explode.

The accumulated upward momentum will create a significant rise. pic.twitter.com/pD6hdiiVOu

— CW (@CW8900) July 3, 2026

Separately, analyst Cryptollica shared data showing the total DOGE supply held in profit has dropped into what they called a “deep bottom zone.” This means fewer holders are sitting on gains at current prices, and many who bought higher are now at a loss.

Cryptollica said this pattern often appears after extended selling periods, when short-term traders have already left the market. Some traders interpret this as a sign that heavy selling pressure may ease.

Ali Charts Flags a Buy Signal

Analyst Ali Charts posted on X that Dogecoin just received a TD buy signal, adding: “Things are about to go wild.” TD buy signals are a technical indicator some traders use to spot potential price reversals after a downtrend.

Dogecoin $DOGE just got a TD buy signal!

Things are about to go wild. https://t.co/xADUno0qPO pic.twitter.com/vYaQPh2lPk

— Ali Charts (@alicharts) July 4, 2026

The signal adds to a broader picture of short-term momentum shifting in DOGE’s favor.

On the 30-minute chart, DOGE recovered from the $0.070 area following a volume spike. Since then, the coin has formed higher lows and higher highs, pointing to short-term buyer control. The $0.075 zone is the next key level traders are watching.

Weekly Chart Shows Familiar Pattern

Analyst Javon Marks highlighted Dogecoin’s weekly chart, noting that higher lows are forming — a structure that appeared before previous major expansion phases. Marks said the setup looks familiar and that this pattern has preceded large moves in the past.

The rising support line under DOGE’s long-term structure remains intact. That keeps the longer-term bullish case open, though confirmation would require a clear break above resistance.

July seasonality is also on traders’ radar. DOGE gained 27.1% in July 2025, 17% in July 2023, and 4.27% in July 2026 so far. It fell in July 2024 and 2021.

At current prices, DOGE has a circulating supply of 170.62 billion coins with no maximum supply cap.

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