TL;DR:
Ethereum recovered the psychological barrier of $2,100, a positive move but one that occurs in an environment of reduced participation, with liquidity on major exchanges reaching annual lows.
The report from CryptoQuant reveals that Binance reserves remain stable at 3.32 million ETH, but asset turnover has dropped drastically. The weekly RSI shows a tense neutrality, while the price strives to stay above the 200-week moving average, considered the last line of technical defense before a major capitulation.
A lack of volume that suggests the current rally is weak and reactive. In the absence of aggressive accumulation, the price is highly vulnerable to high-volume sell orders. Consequently, the market is in a state of low friction where any external catalyst could cause volatile and disproportionate movements.
Despite the fact that ETH inventory on exchanges has not decreased, traders prefer to be cautious. This divergence between stable reserves and decreasing activity indicates that the market is not driven by supply, but by a worrying lack of active demand.
For their part, analysts warn that these periods of low liquidity often precede strong directional movements. The current technical structure shows that Ethereum failed to recover the 50 and 100-week moving averages, which now act as dynamic resistances blocking the path toward $2,800.
While Ethereum battles for vital support, the absence of backing volume turns this recovery into a zone of uncertainty. For the trend change to be real, the crypto must overcome $2,600 with a significant increase in institutional participation.
