TL;DR
Hedera’s HBAR is camped around $0.09, a level the market keeps probing as momentum stays subdued. The immediate read-through is that buyers are defending support, but they are not yet paying up for a trend. Live market data places HBAR near $0.094 with a $3.9 billion market cap, and the 24-hour tape points to modest activity. That mix signals stabilization, not conviction. For desks tracking liquidity, the calm is fragile and headline-sensitive in tape.
Over recent weeks, price action has been largely corrective, with HBAR trading in a tight range near its October lows. Support in the $0.088 to $0.09 zone is still holding, yet the broader setup stays bearish below overhead supply. Analysts map key resistance between $0.126 and $0.177, and they argue that failure to reclaim those bands keeps rallies framed as relief moves rather than a regime change, especially if broader crypto sentiment weakens again.
Shorter-term charts show talk of a potential inverse head-and-shoulders, but the pattern is only a hypothesis until confirmed. A decisive break above roughly $0.094 to $0.096 is the trigger bulls cite for a possible run toward $0.12. RSI sits near oversold levels, while MACD remains tilted down. Until price sustains above the 20-day, 50-day, and longer moving averages, bias stays defensive. That is why traders are demanding a high-volume reclaim before repositioning aggressively here.
Technicals are not the only constraint; the ecosystem’s operating metrics are flashing cooler conditions. Declining network revenue and weakening on-chain indicators are weighing on investor confidence just as the token tests support. Total value locked in Hedera’s DeFi layer has dropped significantly from mid-2025 highs, and weekly decentralized application revenue has fallen sharply in recent weeks, reducing the narrative fuel needed to attract new risk capital. Incremental buyers appear to be waiting for proof.
The institutional bid has also looked tentative. With only limited recent inflows into HBAR-linked products such as spot exchange-traded funds, the market lacks a clear catalyst for sustained upside. Analysts describe a near-term range-bound outlook, with downside risk toward the low $0.08s if selling pressure intensifies. A sustained breakout above immediate resistance is still the condition needed to reset sentiment and flip the technical bias, until flows improve or price reclaims the $0.12 area.
Also read: How Derivative Structures Changed Retail Risk Understanding in 2025, According to Leverage.Trading
