TLDR:
Hedera Hashgraph began 2026 positioning itself as a technological titan in the tokenization sector. Recent data indicates that the network outperformed all its peers focused on Real-World Assets (RWA) in terms of development activity.
Despite this solid foundation, the Hedera HBAR price is currently in a technical consolidation phase near $0.12, after reaching an annual high of $0.133 and retracing to previously established support levels.
Market signals are currently mixed. On one hand, the appearance of a “double bottom” pattern around $0.10 has injected optimism among analysts, who see a possible breakout toward the $0.14 resistance.
However, seasoned traders warn that if current levels fail, the Hedera HBAR price could test a major demand zone near $0.05 during the first quarter of this year, depending on the geopolitical volatility affecting global markets.
The utility narrative remains the primary driver for Hedera. As a network inherently compatible with SWIFT’s ISO 20022 global financial messaging standard, HBAR competes directly with giants like Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM).
Although XRP dominates in market capitalization and daily volume, Hedera stands out technically for its speed, capable of processing 10,000 transactions per second (TPS). This makes it suitable for absorbing part of the $155 trillion that SWIFT moves annually.
For the Hedera HBAR price to confirm a sustainable bullish trend, it must cross the Smoothed Moving Average (SMA) trendline.
Nevertheless, money flow indicators (Chaikin Money Flow) on short-term charts show that “whales” are in an active “wait-and-see” mode, with profit-taking prevailing over aggressive accumulation.
The success of the instant settlement tests currently being conducted by SWIFT using Hedera’s technology will be the ultimate catalyst to determine if the asset achieves its long-awaited breakout by the end of the year.
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