TL;DR
Hyperliquid (HYPE) shows signs of recovery after weeks of volatility, although investors remain cautious.
The token has managed to climb above its 200-day exponential moving average, a crucial technical level, but the recent gain has been modest: according to CoinMarketCap, HYPE trades at $38.28, up just 0.6% over the last 24 hours. Selling pressure appears to be easing, but activity on the decentralized exchange remains limited, indicating that demand has not fully returned.

On-chain data shows HYPE’s open interest fell from $15.1 billion on October 9 to $7.2 billion the following Friday, a drop of over 50%. This decline reflects strong risk-averse sentiment following the October 10 flash crash, which triggered $19 billion in liquidations across the crypto market. Inflows also fell to $4.5 billion by the end of the week as outflows increased, a dynamic that could slow retail participation and limit available liquidity.

To support the price and reduce circulating supply, the Hyperliquid Assistance Fund purchased roughly 33.53 million HYPE, worth $1.29 billion. This revenue-based buyback demonstrates internal confidence in the project and aims to support long-term growth.
Still, the recovery depends on retail traders returning: the latest CoinGlass data shows open interest rose 2.45% in 24 hours, reaching $1.34 billion, a modest rebound that could be enough to sustain short-term momentum.
Technically, HYPE faces several challenges ahead. Holding above its 200-day EMA at $38 opens the path toward the 100-day EMA at $43 and pivot point resistance near $48. Indicators such as the MACD suggest a potential bullish crossover, while the RSI has risen to 42, indicating selling pressure is easing. However, losing support at $38 could push the token back toward $28, the next key support level.

Hyperliquid shows signs that selling pressure is moderating and that the internal fund’s intervention has stabilized the market. Still, establishing a sustained bullish trend will depend on renewed retail participation and the token maintaining key levels in its technical structure