Ripple (XRP) Price: Whales Are Buying at the Fastest Rate Since XRP Hit Its All-Time High — Is a Rally Next?

TLDR

• XRP’s Sharpe Ratio turned slightly positive on March 26, suggesting returns currently exceed risk
• Whale inflows have averaged $9 million per day on a 30-day basis, the longest accumulation phase since April–July 2025
• Open interest rose 14.8% in 24 hours on March 26, but repeated long liquidations point to an unstable futures market
• XRP has broken down from a bullish triangle pattern, falling 13.63% over 10 days, with support levels at $1.27 and $1.11 in focus
• Long-term forecasts from analysts and models range from $5.35 by 2030 to as high as $17–$27 on multi-year projections

XRP is trading around $1.33–$1.40, sitting at a low price threshold after a rough stretch of price action. The asset has lost 13.63% over the past 10 days after breaking down from a bullish ascending triangle pattern.

Despite that drop, some on-chain data is showing early signs of improvement beneath the surface.

The Sharpe Ratio for XRP turned slightly positive on March 26. The 30-day average return sits at 0.00063, with a Sharpe Ratio of 0.0267. Crypto analyst Arab Chain said the reading suggests “current returns still exceed risk” and points to a “gradual positive rebalancing” for the altcoin. The analyst added that if the indicator falls back into negative territory, it could signal a return of volatility.

Whale flows have also picked up. The 30-day moving average for XRP whale inflows is now at $9 million per day. This accumulation phase has held since February 27 — the longest streak since the April to July 2025 period. That prior phase ended with XRP hitting an all-time high of $3.65 on July 18, 2025.

Futures Market Showing Stress

Crypto analyst Amr Taha flagged that the 24-hour open interest change hit 14.8% on March 26, the highest since March 4. That signals renewed trader participation. But the data also shows a pattern of aggressive long positioning being repeatedly cleared.

Liquidation events above $2.5 million hit on March 18, followed by $2.45 million on March 21 and $2.15 million on March 26. These repeated wipeouts point to a fragile futures setup, where traders keep getting reset during short-term volatility.

If current market conditions hold, analysts see potential retests of support near $1.27 and the yearly low of $1.11.

Long-Term Price Targets Vary Widely

Analyst Egrag Crypto has outlined a macro ascending triangle structure for XRP with Fibonacci targets of $8, $17, and $27, calling the current pullback a “retest phase” that is “normal and necessary.” Another analyst, Dark Defender, sees XRP potentially entering the $5 range.

#XRP – Macro Ascending Triangle ($8 → $17 → $27):

This is not random price action….. this is structure playing out over years.

Macro View:
#XRP is holding a multi-year ascending trend (MYATL)
Formed a macro ascending triangle
Brokeout already happened → now… pic.twitter.com/LqmVgYmoGF

— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) March 22, 2026

CoinCodex models project XRP at $1.64 by end of 2026, $5.35 by 2030, $8.06 by 2040, and $13.42 by 2050.

The passing of a crypto clarity bill is also cited as a potential catalyst, given XRP’s history of being directly affected by regulatory uncertainty.

XRP whale inflows have now held positive for over a month, with the 30-day moving average sitting at $9 million per day as of late March 2026.

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