Bitcoin’s foray above $70,000, while encouraging, has not really done much to quell the expectations that this is only the start of the bear market. A number of analysts continue to warn investors that this might only be a temporary relief, with the real crash on the way. One of these analysts is HAMED_AZ, who took to the TradingView website to share why the Bitcoin price is still very bearish and why he expects a further crash before the cryptocurrency hits a bottom.
According to HAMED, the Bitcoin price is still very bearish, despite the recent recovery, and this is due to the fact that it continues to trade inside a descending channel. This descending channel appeared on the daily timeframe, and since the price broke below the support at $79,000, it has completely eroded the bullish sentiment.
Even now, the Bitcoin price has yet to retest the resistance that has now formed after this support level turned into resistance, showing weakness on the part of the bulls. Another important point that that the analyst makes is that this same zone is closely aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. All of these put together make it an important level to determine the next wave of action.
If the cryptocurrency’s price continues to correct below the $79,000-$82,000 level, then it is possible that the price could experience another rejection that could send it crashing lower. This is because this level is an area that bears control.
In the case of a crash, then the crypto analyst suggests that there could be another 40% price crash. This would mean that the price would eventually fall below $50,000. The bottom for this move is placed somewhere around $47,000, which would mean that the Bitcoin price would be below 60% from all-time high levels.
“If price reaches this zone and shows signs of rejection or weakening bullish momentum, the market may experience a bearish rejection, continuing the broader downtrend within the channel,” HAMED explained. “As long as price remains below the supply zone and the upper boundary of the descending channel, the dominant scenario favors a bearish continuation after a pullback into resistance.”
On the flip side of this, there is still the possibility that the bulls will reclaim control of the cryptocurrency. This would happen if the Bitcoin price were to rally and break above $82,000. In this case, it would push to the upper boundary of the descending channel, leading to a potential trend reversal.
