Bitcoin (BTC) Price: Fed Rate Hike Fears Keep BTC Stuck Below $82,000 Ahead of CPI Data

08-Sep-2026 CoinCentral

TLDR

  • Bitcoin is trading around $79,176–$79,500, down 0.8% over 24 hours
  • Analysts expect BTC to stay range-bound between $78,000 and $82,000 until the Fed’s September 16 decision
  • US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $987 million in inflows last week, totaling $3.8 billion over three weeks
  • August jobs report beat expectations, pushing Fed rate hike odds to ~60% for September
  • CPI data on September 11 and the FOMC meeting on September 16 are the key events to watch

Bitcoin is trading near $79,200 on Monday, September 7, down 0.8% over the past 24 hours. The price has pulled back after briefly clearing $82,000 last week.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price
Bitcoin (BTC) Price

The asset moved between $78,707 and $80,494 in the past day, with trading volume up nearly 30% to around $24.4 billion, according to CoinGecko.

Sellers have repeatedly stepped in near $80,500, keeping Bitcoin locked inside a wider range of $77,200 to $82,100 identified by Bitfinex analysts.

Jeff Ko, chief analyst at CoinEx, told crypto.news he expects the range to stay tight ahead of the Federal Reserve’s next move. “I expect compression into a tight range, capped around $82,000 with support at $78,000–$79,000, and a directional resolution once the Fed is out of the way,” Ko said.

ETF Inflows Offer Some Support

US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs pulled in $987 million last week, marking three straight weeks of positive flows and bringing the total to roughly $3.8 billion. Despite this, Ko cautioned against reading too much into it. He wants to see more weeks of inflows, especially during flat or sideways price action, before calling it a genuine accumulation phase.

Bitcoin gained 25% in August, meaning some recent ETF buying may have been momentum-driven rather than long-term positioning. During the first half of 2026, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $5.29 billion in net outflows as BTC fell from around $94,000 to $63,000.

Analyst Daan Crypto Trades noted on X that Bitcoin posted a solid weekly close above key breakout levels from three weeks ago. He pointed to the May high at $83,000 as the next level to watch, saying that clearing it would confirm a weekly market structure break. He also noted the Bull Market Support band is starting to move back up.

Fed Decision and CPI in Focus

Friday’s US jobs report showed 162,000 nonfarm payrolls added in August, well above the 55,000 expected. The unemployment rate held at 4.1%. That data pushed the implied probability of a 25 basis point Fed rate hike on September 16 to around 60%, per CME FedWatch.

Treasury yields rose alongside the dollar following the jobs data. The two-year yield moved above 4.34%, and the 10-year sits near 4.8%.

LMAX Group strategist Joel Kruger said Bitcoin has absorbed these headwinds without major technical damage, describing the market’s resilience as standout.

Producer price data is due September 10, followed by CPI on September 11. Headline CPI is expected to hold at 3.4% year over year, with core CPI seen at 2.4%. Ko said a hot inflation print that drives yields and the dollar sharply higher would be “the cleanest test of Bitcoin’s resilience.”

The FOMC decision follows on September 16.

The post Bitcoin (BTC) Price: Fed Rate Hike Fears Keep BTC Stuck Below $82,000 Ahead of CPI Data appeared first on CoinCentral.

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