With Ethereum’s recent price hovering near $4,500, market participants are closely monitoring both on-chain activity and the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which could trigger short-term volatility.
A recent post by @Zynweb3 highlighted a “bullish cross” on Ethereum’s price chart, where the 50-day moving average surpassed the 200-day moving average. Historically, such crossovers have preceded significant short-term rallies. According to Investopedia (2025), these technical patterns can indicate potential upward momentum, though a 2023 study in the Journal of Financial Economics cautions that moving average crossovers only achieve a 50–60% success rate in predicting gains.
Ethereum bullish cross signals potential surge above $5,000 after historic 60% July and 24% August gains. Source: @Zynweb3 via X
Past data supports the bullish scenario: ETH experienced surges of 60% in July and 24% in August following similar signals. Analysts note that Ethereum’s upgrade to Ethereum 2.0 in 2022, which improved scalability and energy efficiency, adds further optimism, providing a stronger foundation for sustained upward movement.
Institutional activity has also influenced the Ethereum price today. On September 17, 2025, BlackRock sold 4,489 ETH worth $20.3 million, according to on-chain analytics shared by Whale Insider. While this sale coincided with a dip below $4,500, it represents less than 0.01% of BlackRock’s $12 billion ETH ETF holdings.
BlackRock sells 4,489.62 Ethereum (ETH) worth $20.3M amid market volatility. Source: @WhaleInsider via X
A report in the Journal of Finance (2024) suggests that ETF flows often favor established assets, which may explain BlackRock’s simultaneous $209 million Bitcoin purchase. Market experts note that given Ethereum’s daily trading volume exceeding $15 billion, this move is unlikely to trigger a whale-induced crash.
Adding to market uncertainty, the FED FOMC will be live in 8 hours, and traders are weighing the potential impact on Ethereum. The FOMC meeting, set for 2 PM ET (8 PM CEST), is expected to discuss interest rates. Market data indicates a 95% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut, reflecting economic indicators such as a 6.13% mortgage rate—the lowest since 2022—and a softening jobs market, which added only 22,000 jobs in August.
FOMC meeting today could spark market moves with a likely 25-basis-point rate cut, as economic data points to softer job growth and lower mortgage rates. Source: @DeFiTracer via X
Historical context suggests that the Fed has previously cut rates aggressively following weak employment data. For instance, a 50-basis-point cut occurred in 2024, indicating that a similar move could support risk assets like Ethereum. The gamified ETH giveaway—$2,500 to predict the FOMC decision—has further heightened attention among crypto traders.
Blockchain data from Glassnode shows a 15% increase in ETH held by long-term investors since mid-2024, indicating growing market confidence. Meanwhile, @CryptooELITES predicts that Ethereum could reach $10,000 by November–December 2025, comparing current accumulation trends with the 2021 pre-rally sideways movement. TradingView’s one-week technical analysis rates ETH as a “buy,” reinforcing the bullish outlook despite recent short-term volatility.
Ethereum could surge to $10,000 by late 2025 as long-term accumulation and historical price patterns fuel bullish momentum despite recent dips. Source: @CryptooELITES via X
Market analysts remain cautiously optimistic, noting that Ethereum’s recent bullish cross, combined with strong accumulation and a supportive macro environment, could pave the way for a $5,000 price target if market conditions remain favorable.
Ethereum’s trajectory over the coming weeks will likely be influenced by both technical factors and macroeconomic developments. Traders should monitor the Ethereum price prediction 2025, upcoming FED rate decisions, and on-chain activity for insights.
Ethereum (ETH) was trading at around $4,492, up 1.38% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: Ethereum Price via Brave New Coin
While historical patterns suggest potential gains, market participants are advised to remain vigilant, given the inherent volatility of ETH crypto price movements.
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